Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 67.689338 76.471284 85.489937 95.411671 105.988886 116.897914 128.969840
2025-04-06 53.581174 66.027839 79.431415 94.805764 111.826385 129.976630 150.680358
2025-04-13 43.869675 58.017265 73.833487 92.550151 113.836474 137.060022 164.086828
2025-04-20 39.650527 55.500761 73.748090 95.854705 121.493506 149.920679 183.463229
2025-04-27 35.667290 52.717108 72.893184 97.862256 127.325111 160.449733 199.994167
2025-05-04 31.065509 48.679206 70.134309 97.266868 129.834510 166.946926 211.748061
2025-05-11 26.997755 44.903264 67.351934 96.339071 131.695994 172.490398 222.235774
2025-05-18 24.197210 42.505328 66.060101 97.031586 135.327470 179.972872 234.867991
2025-05-25 21.254851 39.631576 63.936826 96.500762 137.326169 185.414839 245.029227
2025-06-01 18.998534 37.501694 62.613972 96.836837 140.271969 191.899053 256.353863
2025-06-08 16.506785 34.786087 60.323167 95.775725 141.364298 196.067727 264.866533
2025-06-15 15.143375 33.636435 60.066828 97.282838 145.611162 204.010984 277.854944
2025-06-22 13.940959 32.654592 60.009357 99.057319 150.240010 212.498910 291.618559
2025-06-29 12.133928 30.516049 58.189149 98.384636 151.689547 217.060931 300.647869
2025-07-06 10.099889 27.748772 55.278998 96.086469 150.928561 218.805502 306.192327
2025-07-13 9.698431 27.800580 56.511354 99.463869 157.534329 229.700085 322.888623
2025-07-20 9.014076 27.263127 56.810867 101.516112 162.392411 238.414176 336.934264
2025-07-27 7.799981 25.583228 55.266086 100.907536 163.693857 242.637004 345.453903
2025-08-03 6.647686 23.858716 53.541898 99.959173 164.480811 246.167191 353.090222
2025-08-10 5.927948 22.919769 53.003185 100.667049 167.451620 252.446002 364.118476
2025-08-17 5.062801 21.530357 51.647749 100.124454 168.692662 256.494094 372.362127
2025-08-24 4.430743 20.562285 50.926255 100.467985 171.105626 262.023756 382.444484
2025-08-31 3.659993 19.107922 49.290298 99.383297 171.517223 264.948260 389.249231